Série C . Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Macaé Esporte vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 1
GAM
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LUV
3 - 1
MAC
47%
26%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
MAC
0 - 0
BOA
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
MAC
63%
22%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
BOA
1 - 0
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CRI
1 - 1
JUV
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 0
CRI
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
CRI
1 - 0
CAX
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRI
40%
27%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
CAX
1 - 0
CRI
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |