Macaé Esporte vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 1
MAD
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 0
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
CGA
2 - 0
MAC
27%
24%
49%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 2
MAC
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
MAC
4 - 0
BAR
72%
18%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
CAX
0 - 1
GUA
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 2
MAD
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 1
CAX
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 1
CAX
30%
28%
43%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CAX
0 - 3
TUP
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |