Macaé Esporte vs América RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 1
BOA
33%
23%
44%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
RES
5 - 2
MAC
38%
24%
38%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
VOL
2 - 1
MAC
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 1
NOV
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
MAC
29%
24%
47%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MAD
2 - 0
AME
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 2
DUQ
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
OLA
1 - 0
AME
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 3
BAN
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
FLU
3 - 1
AME
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | -1 |