Maardu II vs Tartu Welco II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maardu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JFP
2 - 1
MST
16%
17%
68%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MST
2 - 3
FCT
82%
11%
7%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MST
4 - 4
SIK
70%
16%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VJK
1 - 4
MST
22%
20%
58%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MST
2 - 1
RAK
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tartu Welco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TJK
2 - 2
VJK
65%
18%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RAK
2 - 3
TJK
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TJK
2 - 0
JKN
13%
18%
69%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +4 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCH
2 - 2
TJK
21%
19%
60%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TJK
0 - 3
FHT
59%
19%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |