Esiliiga Normal Season Round 22

Maardu FC vs Tartu Welco analysis

Maardu FC Tartu Welco
63 ELO 45
38.3% Tilt 29%
763º General ELO ranking 1664º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
82%
Maardu FC
11.7%
Draw
6.4%
Tartu Welco

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
Maardu FC
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6.4%
Win probability
Tartu Welco
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Maardu FC
+6%
+17%
Tartu Welco

ELO progression

Maardu FC
Tartu Welco
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Maardu FC
Maardu FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2021
FLO
FC Flora Tallin II
1 - 8
Maardu FC
MAA
39%
23%
38%
61 57 4 0
09 Sep. 2021
MAA
Maardu FC
1 - 1
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
FCP
80%
13%
7%
61 47 14 0
29 Aug. 2021
NOM
Nõmme United
2 - 4
Maardu FC
MAA
32%
23%
45%
61 54 7 0
25 Aug. 2021
FCE
FC Elva
0 - 1
Maardu FC
MAA
21%
21%
58%
60 51 9 +1
20 Aug. 2021
MAA
Maardu FC
1 - 3
FC Flora Tallin II
FLO
71%
17%
12%
61 55 6 -1

Matches

Tartu Welco
Tartu Welco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2021
WEL
Tartu Welco
2 - 1
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
FCP
38%
24%
38%
45 47 2 0
11 Sep. 2021
FCE
FC Elva
4 - 2
Tartu Welco
WEL
62%
20%
18%
45 51 6 0
06 Sep. 2021
LEV
Levadia Tallinn II
1 - 2
Tartu Welco
WEL
61%
20%
19%
45 48 3 0
01 Sep. 2021
FHT
FC Helios Voru
0 - 3
Tartu Welco
WEL
30%
20%
49%
43 37 6 +2
28 Aug. 2021
WEL
Tartu Welco
1 - 1
Tammeka II
TAM
55%
22%
24%
44 39 5 -1