Esiliiga Round 3

Maardu FC vs Rakvere JK Tarvas analysis

Maardu FC Rakvere JK Tarvas
61 ELO 51
27.8% Tilt 27.4%
793º General ELO ranking 20882º
Country ELO ranking 119º
ELO win probability
71.1%
Maardu FC
16.9%
Draw
12%
Rakvere JK Tarvas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
Maardu FC
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12%
Win probability
Rakvere JK Tarvas
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Maardu FC
+3%
-2%
Rakvere JK Tarvas

ELO progression

Maardu FC
Rakvere JK Tarvas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Maardu FC
Maardu FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2018
MAA
Maardu FC
5 - 1
Tartu Welco
WEL
83%
12%
6%
60 38 22 0
05 Nov. 2017
MAA
Maardu FC
2 - 1
Tallinna Kalev
TAL
44%
24%
32%
58 60 2 +2
29 Oct. 2017
KUR
Kuressaare
0 - 1
Maardu FC
MAA
40%
22%
38%
58 52 6 0
22 Oct. 2017
MAA
Maardu FC
4 - 1
Rakvere JK Tarvas
RAK
69%
18%
14%
58 51 7 0
14 Oct. 2017
TIN
Tallinna Infonet II
0 - 3
Maardu FC
MAA
24%
21%
55%
57 44 13 +1

Matches

Rakvere JK Tarvas
Rakvere JK Tarvas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2018
TKA
Tallinna Kalev II
0 - 0
Rakvere JK Tarvas
RAK
52%
24%
24%
51 54 3 0
05 Nov. 2017
RAK
Rakvere JK Tarvas
3 - 0
Kuressaare
KUR
42%
23%
35%
49 51 2 +2
29 Oct. 2017
RAK
Rakvere JK Tarvas
1 - 1
Tallinna Infonet II
TIN
60%
19%
21%
50 45 5 -1
22 Oct. 2017
MAA
Maardu FC
4 - 1
Rakvere JK Tarvas
RAK
69%
18%
14%
51 58 7 -1
15 Oct. 2017
WEL
Tartu Welco
1 - 4
Rakvere JK Tarvas
RAK
21%
24%
56%
50 37 13 +1