Maardu FC vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
31%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maardu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
MAA
2 - 2
TAM
72%
16%
12%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
MAA
3 - 5
FLO
46%
24%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
MAA
0 - 2
NOM
52%
20%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FCE
1 - 2
MAA
34%
24%
42%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
ESV
0 - 2
MAA
7%
11%
82%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
4 - 1
NOM
45%
22%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
FCE
0 - 0
PAR
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 3
FLO
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
4 - 0
TAM
68%
18%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
FCP
1 - 1
PAR
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |