Maardu FC vs Tartu Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.4%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6%
5-0
8.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.8%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.3%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.4%
2.1%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maardu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
PAI
1 - 4
MAA
7%
13%
79%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
MAA
5 - 1
JKN
91%
7%
3%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
NOU
1 - 3
MAA
18%
22%
61%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
MAA
2 - 3
TJK
91%
7%
2%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
KUR
0 - 3
MAA
6%
13%
81%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Tartu Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
TJK
1 - 0
FAT
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FAT
5 - 0
PAI
54%
21%
25%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
JKN
0 - 1
FAT
50%
24%
27%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
FAT
3 - 1
KUR
44%
22%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
NOU
3 - 0
FAT
51%
22%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |