Estonia Second Division B Round 6

Maardu FC vs Ararat analysis

Maardu FC Ararat
50 ELO 39
16.2% Tilt 28.9%
763º General ELO ranking 28137º
Country ELO ranking 125º
ELO win probability
69.6%
Maardu FC
17.2%
Draw
13.2%
Ararat

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
Maardu FC
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.2%
Win probability
Ararat
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Maardu FC
+14%
-10%
Ararat

ELO progression

Maardu FC
Ararat
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Maardu FC
Maardu FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2015
SKA
Sillamäe Kalev II
0 - 3
Maardu FC
MAA
45%
23%
32%
47 49 2 0
01 Apr. 2015
MAA
Maardu FC
3 - 1
Joker
JOK
59%
20%
21%
46 43 3 +1
19 Mar. 2015
EMM
Emmaste
0 - 2
Maardu FC
MAA
57%
20%
23%
44 48 4 +2
13 Mar. 2015
TKA
Tallinna Kalev II
1 - 3
Maardu FC
MAA
66%
18%
16%
40 50 10 +4
07 Mar. 2015
MAA
Maardu FC
0 - 2
Alliance FC
JKJ
63%
19%
18%
39 39 0 +1

Matches

Ararat
Ararat
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2015
FCA
Ararat
3 - 3
Tallinna Kalev II
TKA
23%
22%
54%
38 49 11 0
05 Apr. 2015
FCA
Ararat
0 - 5
Alliance FC
JKJ
42%
25%
33%
39 44 5 -1
22 Mar. 2015
FCA
Ararat
0 - 3
FC Elva
FCE
37%
24%
39%
40 45 5 -1
12 Mar. 2015
FCA
Ararat
0 - 2
FC Puuma
FCP
63%
19%
18%
40 32 8 0
04 Mar. 2015
FLO
FC Flora Tallin III
4 - 7
Ararat
FCA
32%
23%
46%
37 29 8 +3