Maardu Aliens vs Nomme Kalju III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maardu Aliens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MAA
2 - 3
ESV
29%
21%
51%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
MAK
3 - 3
MAA
46%
21%
33%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2020 |
TUL
1 - 2
MAA
85%
11%
5%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2020 |
MAA
1 - 12
TAZ
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
TRA
0 - 0
MAA
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 61 | 44 | +1 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
KAL
0 - 3
FCH
17%
19%
65%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
KAL
3 - 2
HFB
70%
17%
14%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
KAL
1 - 3
FCA
15%
17%
69%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
LAH
6 - 0
KAL
75%
14%
11%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
KAL
0 - 5
FLO
9%
17%
74%
|
17 | 59 | 42 | 0 |