Maardu Aliens vs Keila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
14%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.8%
53.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
5.8%
3-4
2.2%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
1.1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maardu Aliens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
MAA
3 - 1
POL
17%
16%
67%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
OTA
5 - 4
MAA
54%
20%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
MAA
0 - 8
TAZ
10%
13%
77%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
MAA
2 - 1
KAL
49%
21%
31%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MAA
2 - 3
ESV
29%
21%
51%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Keila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
HLA
4 - 2
KEI
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
KEI
1 - 1
NOU
32%
21%
48%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HII
1 - 1
KEI
80%
12%
8%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
KEI
1 - 3
FLO
12%
16%
71%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SJL
0 - 2
KEI
83%
10%
7%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |