Lystrup vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
68.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lystrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
HOB
1 - 2
LYS
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
LYS
1 - 9
JAM
17%
19%
64%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
LYS
0 - 5
VAR
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2010 |
GRG
2 - 4
LYS
18%
22%
61%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
AAF
1 - 0
VRI
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
AAB
2 - 4
AAF
18%
20%
62%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
AAF
1 - 1
HIK
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
SKI
2 - 0
AAF
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
AAF
1 - 2
SKA
49%
24%
28%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |