LLB Académic vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LLB Académic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
LLB
4 - 0
ANM
52%
25%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BUJ
1 - 2
LLB
52%
26%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
LLB
1 - 1
MFC
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LLB
1 - 0
FLA
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 1
LLB
47%
28%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
NGO
3 - 0
KVZ
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
KVZ
2 - 1
NGO
14%
20%
66%
|
40 | 10 | 30 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
NGO
0 - 0
BUJ
51%
26%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LLF
1 - 4
NGO
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
NGO
1 - 0
STA
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |