Luziânia vs Ceilandense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luziânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
LUZ
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 0
LUZ
60%
24%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LUZ
0 - 0
BRA
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LUZ
1 - 0
CDF
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 7 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TOM
3 - 0
LUZ
58%
24%
17%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
CEI
0 - 1
FOR
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CDF
1 - 0
CEI
12%
18%
70%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
CEI
0 - 2
BRA
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 3
CEI
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 1
CEI
71%
19%
10%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |