Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SIO
1 - 2
FCL
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
FCL
2 - 3
YOB
15%
21%
64%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
FCL
2 - 0
SIO
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
SER
1 - 3
FCL
50%
25%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
FCL
1 - 1
FCV
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 1
ZUR
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
ZUR
1 - 2
STG
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
ZUR
4 - 0
LAU
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
ZUR
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SIO
2 - 2
ZUR
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |