Swiss Super League Round 3

Luzern vs Zurich analysis

Luzern Zurich
78 ELO 80
-2.6% Tilt 10.7%
283º General ELO ranking 273º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.2%
Luzern
25.7%
Draw
41.1%
Zurich

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
Luzern
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.1%
Win probability
Zurich
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luzern
-6%
-2%
Zurich

ELO progression

Luzern
Zurich
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2013
FCA
Aarau
4 - 2
Luzern
FCL
35%
25%
40%
78 72 6 0
16 Jul. 2013
FCL
Luzern
1 - 4
B. Dortmund
BVB
10%
18%
73%
78 92 14 0
14 Jul. 2013
FCL
Luzern
2 - 0
Lausanne Sports
LAU
64%
22%
15%
78 66 12 0
01 Jun. 2013
SER
Servette
3 - 4
Luzern
FCL
30%
27%
44%
78 69 9 0
29 May. 2013
FCL
Luzern
2 - 0
Sion
SIO
47%
26%
27%
77 76 1 +1

Matches

Zurich
Zurich
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jul. 2013
SIO
Sion
0 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
27%
25%
48%
81 75 6 0
14 Jul. 2013
ZUR
Zurich
3 - 2
Thun
THU
55%
25%
20%
81 76 5 0
01 Jun. 2013
SIO
Sion
4 - 2
Zurich
ZUR
25%
26%
49%
81 75 6 0
29 May. 2013
ZUR
Zurich
2 - 0
Thun
THU
55%
25%
20%
81 76 5 0
26 May. 2013
YOB
Young Boys
2 - 4
Zurich
ZUR
48%
23%
29%
81 81 0 0