Swiss Super League Round 32

Luzern vs Zurich analysis

Luzern Zurich
75 ELO 82
13.5% Tilt 8.8%
289º General ELO ranking 281º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.2%
Luzern
24.2%
Draw
46.6%
Zurich

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
Luzern
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.6%
Win probability
Zurich
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luzern
-7%
-1%
Zurich

ELO progression

Luzern
Zurich
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2010
BAS
Basel
5 - 0
Luzern
FCL
73%
16%
11%
74 85 11 0
14 Apr. 2010
FCL
Luzern
1 - 1
Sion
SIO
47%
25%
28%
74 76 2 0
11 Apr. 2010
STG
St. Gallen
3 - 1
Luzern
FCL
49%
25%
26%
74 77 3 0
03 Apr. 2010
FCL
Luzern
2 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
52%
24%
23%
74 74 0 0
28 Mar. 2010
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 2
Luzern
FCL
53%
24%
23%
73 75 2 +1

Matches

Zurich
Zurich
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2010
ZUR
Zurich
0 - 1
Aarau
FCA
73%
18%
10%
83 62 21 0
14 Apr. 2010
BEL
AC Bellinzona
1 - 4
Zurich
ZUR
20%
23%
57%
82 64 18 +1
11 Apr. 2010
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 2
Basel
BAS
36%
25%
40%
83 85 2 -1
05 Apr. 2010
ZUR
Zurich
3 - 2
Grasshopper
GCZ
49%
24%
27%
82 81 1 +1
01 Apr. 2010
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 1
St. Gallen
STG
54%
23%
23%
82 77 5 0