Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
53.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 2
BAS
22%
23%
54%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
GCZ
1 - 0
FCL
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCL
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
FCL
2 - 3
YOB
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
NEX
3 - 3
FCL
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ZUR
5 - 0
FCV
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
45%
24%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BEL
68%
21%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GCZ
2 - 2
ZUR
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCV
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |