Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
SER
6 - 3
FCL
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
FCL
1 - 0
LUG
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
FCW
1 - 1
FCL
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
FCL
1 - 1
YOB
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1991 |
LAU
0 - 0
FCL
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
ZUR
0 - 0
YOB
38%
26%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
FCW
1 - 1
ZUR
45%
25%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
ZUR
1 - 1
SER
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
FCA
1 - 3
ZUR
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1991 |
ZUR
1 - 2
LUG
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |