Luzern vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
STG
4 - 0
FCL
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 1
ZUR
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
YOB
3 - 2
FCL
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 0
LAU
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCL
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
THU
1 - 2
BAS
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
THU
4 - 0
SIO
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
THU
1 - 1
SER
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
WOH
1 - 2
THU
23%
25%
53%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SER
0 - 0
THU
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |