Luzern vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
FCL
4 - 3
SER
23%
23%
54%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
ZUR
2 - 1
FCL
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 0
STG
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
DEL
2 - 2
FCL
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
FCL
0 - 1
NEX
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
THU
0 - 0
ZUR
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
STG
2 - 2
THU
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
THU
0 - 1
DEL
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
YOB
3 - 0
THU
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
THU
1 - 1
NEX
48%
24%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |