Luzern vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
7º
7º
23
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
DJU
1 - 2
FCL
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
WIN
0 - 0
FCL
23%
24%
54%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 1
EXC
65%
19%
15%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 0
SCH
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 2
FCL
26%
25%
50%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
STA
0 - 3
LUG
21%
23%
57%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
STA
2 - 2
PFC
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
STA
2 - 1
GCZ
39%
24%
37%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
STA
0 - 5
YOB
17%
21%
62%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
THU
1 - 0
STA
40%
24%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |