Luzern vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCL
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FCL
1 - 0
BAS
30%
25%
46%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FCL
2 - 1
THU
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
STG
2 - 1
GCZ
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LAU
1 - 4
STG
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
THU
1 - 2
STG
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
STG
3 - 0
LUG
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 2
STG
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +2 |