Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
YOB
0 - 4
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
FCL
1 - 1
STG
43%
28%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
GCZ
4 - 0
FCL
67%
20%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
FCL
3 - 2
NEX
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 1995 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCL
57%
22%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
LUG
1 - 3
SIO
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCA
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1995 |
LUG
4 - 0
JEU
85%
11%
4%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
BAS
0 - 2
LUG
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1995 |
JEU
0 - 0
LUG
24%
24%
53%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |