Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
STG
0 - 0
FCL
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 1
YOB
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCU
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
EBT
3 - 5
FCL
38%
25%
38%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ING
0 - 1
FCL
7%
14%
79%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FCA
0 - 1
FCV
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
THU
1 - 1
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 0
FCA
39%
24%
38%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
HAN
3 - 1
FCA
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
FCA
6 - 1
FCK
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |