Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
FCL
2 - 0
LAU
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
GCZ
1 - 2
FCL
41%
27%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FCL
3 - 1
STG
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 0
SIO
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SIO
3 - 0
FCL
31%
26%
42%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 4
GCZ
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
STG
4 - 0
FCA
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 1
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 2
STG
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
YOB
3 - 0
FCA
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |