Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
NEX
0 - 1
FCL
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 2
THU
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
SIO
0 - 0
FCL
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
FCL
0 - 1
THU
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 2
FCL
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
FCA
3 - 1
STG
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
FCA
2 - 2
STG
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCA
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
FCA
3 - 2
NEX
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
FCL
0 - 0
FCA
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |