Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
YOB
3 - 2
FCL
76%
15%
8%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
SIO
3 - 2
FCL
47%
25%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
FCL
0 - 3
ZUR
19%
23%
58%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
BAU
0 - 1
FCL
13%
20%
67%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
FCL
3 - 2
LUG
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 3
SIO
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
ZUR
3 - 0
FCA
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 1
THU
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
GCZ
0 - 0
FCA
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 0
STG
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |