Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
THU
2 - 1
FCL
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 2
THU
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
FCA
4 - 1
FCL
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
FCL
0 - 0
SCH
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
GCZ
5 - 0
FCL
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
FCA
1 - 1
YOB
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
YOB
1 - 1
FCA
77%
15%
7%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
FCA
4 - 1
FCL
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCA
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
FCA
0 - 1
BAS
14%
20%
67%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |