Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1999 |
FCL
2 - 1
LAU
22%
25%
53%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCL
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1999 |
SER
1 - 0
FCL
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
FCL
2 - 0
DEL
48%
25%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
FCA
3 - 2
SER
25%
26%
50%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1999 |
DEL
4 - 2
FCA
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 0
STG
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 1999 |
GCZ
4 - 0
FCA
83%
11%
6%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 1
YVE
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |