Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FCL
2 - 1
THU
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GCZ
1 - 2
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FCL
2 - 1
LAU
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 2
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
YOB
2 - 0
BAS
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 2
STG
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 4
MAC
21%
22%
57%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
THU
0 - 2
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |