Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
50.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FCL
2 - 0
FCV
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GCZ
1 - 0
FCL
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SIO
2 - 2
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FCL
4 - 0
FCA
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
STG
0 - 0
FCL
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
STG
2 - 2
BAS
28%
24%
47%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
FCP
4 - 0
BAS
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 0
THU
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
MUN
1 - 6
BAS
5%
12%
83%
|
84 | 40 | 44 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCV
69%
20%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |