Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
49.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 2
YOB
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
FCA
0 - 3
FCL
33%
24%
43%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
GCZ
3 - 2
FCL
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
FCL
0 - 0
THU
41%
28%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 3
FCL
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ZUR
1 - 2
BAS
37%
25%
39%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 1
RMA
5%
11%
84%
|
84 | 98 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCA
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FCV
0 - 4
BAS
22%
24%
54%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
4 - 0
LUD
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |