Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
46.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LAU
1 - 0
FCL
17%
23%
60%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 0
ZUR
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SIO
3 - 2
FCL
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
STG
1 - 1
FCL
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
RBS
1 - 2
BAS
42%
23%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
5 - 0
FCA
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 0
RBS
51%
24%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |