Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SIO
3 - 2
FCL
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FCL
2 - 1
THU
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
GCZ
2 - 0
FCL
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LAU
1 - 0
FCL
23%
27%
50%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
DEL
1 - 1
FCL
10%
19%
71%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 2
SER
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 2
GNK
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LAU
1 - 1
BAS
14%
22%
64%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
4 - 1
SIO
66%
20%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
YOB
1 - 1
BAS
45%
23%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |