Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
47.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCL
61%
22%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCL
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FCL
2 - 1
BEL
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCL
70%
18%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
FCL
4 - 2
GCZ
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 2
GCZ
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
BEL
0 - 2
BAS
18%
21%
61%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
81%
14%
6%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
NEX
1 - 3
BAS
29%
23%
47%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
4 - 0
YOB
50%
23%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |