Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
58.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
FCZ
0 - 2
FCL
13%
18%
70%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
GCZ
3 - 2
FCL
80%
13%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 2
THU
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
FCL
4 - 3
SER
23%
23%
54%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
ZUR
2 - 1
FCL
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2002 |
BAS
3 - 3
LIV
24%
23%
54%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 2
BAS
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
BAS
5 - 3
ZUR
73%
17%
11%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
SER
0 - 1
BAS
42%
25%
34%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
BAS
2 - 2
VCF
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |