Luzern II vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 3
LUZ
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LUZ
3 - 2
STG
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
3 - 0
LUZ
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LUZ
4 - 3
FCB
58%
20%
22%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GCB
0 - 1
LUZ
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 0
TUG
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
TUG
3 - 1
WIN
77%
15%
9%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
STG
0 - 2
TUG
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
TUG
1 - 2
SCH
49%
22%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 1
TUG
27%
24%
50%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |