Switzerland Fourth Division Round 21

Luzern II vs FC Sursee analysis

Luzern II FC Sursee
45 ELO 37
20.5% Tilt 21.9%
3519º General ELO ranking 7068º
30º Country ELO ranking 93º
ELO win probability
69.4%
Luzern II
17.3%
Draw
13.2%
FC Sursee

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
Luzern II
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13.2%
Win probability
FC Sursee
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luzern II
-36%
-5%
FC Sursee

ELO progression

Luzern II
FC Sursee
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luzern II
Luzern II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2015
SOL
Solothurn
1 - 0
Luzern II
LUZ
36%
23%
41%
46 41 5 0
12 Apr. 2015
LUZ
Luzern II
1 - 2
SC Kriens
KRI
34%
22%
44%
47 52 5 -1
02 Apr. 2015
LUZ
Luzern II
0 - 3
Wangen
WAN
68%
18%
14%
48 41 7 -1
29 Mar. 2015
MUN
Munsingen
2 - 1
Luzern II
LUZ
22%
22%
56%
49 41 8 -1
14 Mar. 2015
ZUG
Zug 94
1 - 3
Luzern II
LUZ
43%
23%
35%
48 47 1 +1

Matches

FC Sursee
FC Sursee
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2015
FCS
FC Sursee
1 - 1
Bern 1894
BER
71%
17%
12%
38 28 10 0
10 Apr. 2015
CHA
SC Cham
6 - 2
FC Sursee
FCS
78%
14%
8%
39 50 11 -1
28 Mar. 2015
YOU
Young Boys II
1 - 2
FC Sursee
FCS
74%
16%
10%
37 48 11 +2
25 Mar. 2015
FCS
FC Sursee
2 - 1
Solothurn
SOL
29%
24%
47%
36 45 9 +1
14 Mar. 2015
KRI
SC Kriens
2 - 0
FC Sursee
FCS
78%
15%
7%
37 53 16 -1