Luxembourg U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
66.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
LUX
3 - 1
RDC
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 0
LUX
80%
16%
4%
|
23 | 81 | 58 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
BIH
0 - 1
LUX
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
LUX
2 - 1
AZE
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +3 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
LUX
0 - 1
HUN
27%
27%
47%
|
19 | 58 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
HUN
2 - 0
ITA
20%
24%
56%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 1
BIH
80%
15%
5%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 0
LUX
80%
16%
4%
|
81 | 23 | 58 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
WLS
2 - 1
ITA
17%
22%
61%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
RUS
3 - 2
ITA
28%
24%
48%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |