Copa Verde . Final
Global 4-2
Luverdense vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CUI
2 - 0
LUV
29%
26%
46%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
LUV
3 - 1
CAR
87%
10%
3%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
LUV
6%
14%
81%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
LUV
1 - 0
CUI
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 2
LUV
14%
22%
64%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
REM
1 - 1
PAY
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
PAY
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PAY
3 - 1
REC
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
PAY
3 - 1
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAY
16%
23%
61%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |