Luverdense vs Nova Mutum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
CSS
1 - 2
LUV
13%
17%
70%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LUV
1 - 1
PRI
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LUV
1 - 1
MIX
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 1
LUV
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CUI
4 - 3
LUV
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
MIX
5 - 0
NME
36%
24%
41%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
NME
1 - 0
ACA
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LUV
1 - 0
NME
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NME
2 - 2
LUV
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CUI
2 - 2
NME
92%
7%
2%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |