Matogrossense Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Luverdense vs Nova Mutum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NME
2 - 2
LUV
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LUV
4 - 1
DBO
65%
20%
14%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NME
0 - 1
LUV
39%
26%
36%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
LUV
3 - 2
ACA
57%
22%
20%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PRI
0 - 3
LUV
15%
19%
67%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NME
2 - 2
LUV
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CUI
2 - 2
NME
92%
7%
2%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NME
0 - 1
LUV
39%
26%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
LTD
1 - 2
NME
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 1
NME
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |