Luverdense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LON
1 - 1
LUV
43%
30%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 0
LUV
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
LUV
3 - 2
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LUV
2 - 1
TUP
61%
23%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
CEA
0 - 0
LUV
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 0
CEA
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
NAU
2 - 0
BRA
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 1
NAU
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 1
VAS
22%
26%
52%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
NAU
33%
30%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |