Série B Brazil Round 3

Luverdense vs Avaí analysis

Luverdense Avaí
65 ELO 63
1% Tilt -19.5%
4769º General ELO ranking 394º
150º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
50.5%
Luverdense
25.3%
Draw
24.3%
Avaí

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
Luverdense
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.3%
Win probability
Avaí
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luverdense
+21%
+8%
Avaí

ELO progression

Luverdense
Avaí
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luverdense
Luverdense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2016
BRA
RB Bragantino
0 - 1
Luverdense
LUV
52%
26%
22%
64 65 1 0
15 May. 2016
LUV
Luverdense
1 - 1
Joinville
JEC
39%
28%
33%
64 70 6 0
08 May. 2016
SIN
Sinop FC
0 - 1
Luverdense
LUV
21%
26%
54%
64 52 12 0
05 May. 2016
LUV
Luverdense
0 - 0
Sinop FC
SIN
71%
19%
11%
64 51 13 0
01 May. 2016
LUV
Luverdense
2 - 0
Cuiabá
CUI
61%
23%
16%
63 58 5 +1

Matches

Avaí
Avaí
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 May. 2016
AVA
Avaí
2 - 0
Sampaio Correa
SAM
42%
26%
31%
62 64 2 0
15 May. 2016
BAH
Bahía
2 - 1
Avaí
AVA
57%
25%
19%
62 72 10 0
11 May. 2016
AVA
Avaí
1 - 1
RB Bragantino
BRA
37%
25%
38%
62 66 4 0
04 May. 2016
BRA
RB Bragantino
1 - 0
Avaí
AVA
50%
24%
26%
63 65 2 -1
29 Apr. 2016
AVA
Avaí
2 - 0
Operário MT
OPE
74%
17%
9%
62 43 19 +1