Lutterworth Town vs Bugbrooke St Michaels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
52.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutterworth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
RBF
4 - 0
LUT
34%
21%
45%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
LUT
0 - 0
AYL
20%
19%
61%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
COG
2 - 1
LUT
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LUT
1 - 2
RCW
14%
20%
66%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LUT
4 - 3
NEW
12%
17%
71%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Bugbrooke St Michaels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
COV
2 - 2
BUG
50%
22%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
BUG
0 - 4
EAS
69%
18%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
EYN
2 - 3
BUG
17%
19%
64%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BUG
1 - 2
COG
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
RCW
8 - 2
BUG
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -2 |