Luton Town vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
TRA
2 - 1
LUT
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
LUT
1 - 2
BRO
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
LUT
2 - 0
NOR
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
LEE
1 - 0
LUT
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
LUT
3 - 0
SUN
31%
24%
45%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
POR
0 - 2
NTT
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
WAL
0 - 0
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
BOU
0 - 1
POR
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
POR
0 - 2
HAR
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
YEO
1 - 0
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |