Luton Town vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1959 |
LUT
0 - 0
BOL
48%
24%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1959 |
BPO
0 - 0
LUT
66%
18%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1959 |
LUT
0 - 1
LEE
55%
22%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1959 |
LUT
0 - 1
BPO
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1959 |
EVE
2 - 2
LUT
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1959 |
MAC
4 - 6
WOL
31%
23%
45%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1959 |
MAC
3 - 1
FUL
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1959 |
SHW
1 - 0
MAC
59%
19%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1959 |
FUL
5 - 2
MAC
52%
20%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1959 |
MAC
2 - 1
NTT
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |