Luton Town vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
LUT
1 - 0
LEY
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
LUT
2 - 0
IPS
28%
23%
49%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
LUT
1 - 2
YOR
42%
25%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 1
LUT
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
LUT
2 - 0
WRE
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GAT
3 - 0
AFC
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
GAT
0 - 0
LUT
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BAT
4 - 2
GAT
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GAT
1 - 0
FOR
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
GRI
2 - 0
GAT
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |