FA Trophy . Last 16
Global 2-3
Luton Town vs Cambridge United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 2
LUT
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
LIN
0 - 0
LUT
25%
27%
49%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
LUT
2 - 1
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
LUT
6 - 0
KID
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
LUT
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cambridge United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 2
LUT
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
NUN
0 - 0
CAM
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 0
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
CAM
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
STA
1 - 2
CAM
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |